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2008 Strength of Schedule

Discussion in 'Chargers Fan Forum' started by sdbound, Mar 30, 2008.

  1. sdbound

    sdbound New Member

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    I found this while looking for schedule info, pretty good analysis.

    Fox blog by Dwindy1,

    The 2008 NFL schedule came out this week. We’re going to dissect it with an eye toward coming up with the average Strength of Schedule (SOS). Let’s see who made out like a bandit and who got treated like a poor stepchild…

    Using each team’s 2007 winning percentage and plugging that into the new schedule the following average SOS was formulated:

    Talk about parity… The overall AFC verses NFC SOS is dead even at .500 each!

    Here is how the eight divisions averaged out, most to least difficult:

    AFC South…...0.561

    AFC North…..0.559

    NFC North…..0.540

    NFC East……0.522

    NFC West..…0.479

    NFC South…..0.461

    AFC East……0.440

    AFC West…..0.440

    Looks like the AFC East and West are making out like bandits…

    Let’s see, what division is New England in?

    Here is the breakdown on a team by team basis:

    Rank…….TEAM………………SOS……2007 Win%

    1. Pittsburgh Steelers………..0.598……… .625
    2. Indianapolis Colts………...0.594……… .813
    3. Jacksonville Jaguars………0.559……… .688
    4. Baltimore Ravens…………0.551……… .313
    5. Minnesota Vikings………..0.551……… .500
    6. Cincinnati Bengals………..0.547……… .438
    7. Cleveland Browns………...0.547……… .625
    8. Houston Texans…………..0.547……… .500
    9. Detroit Lions……………..0.543………. .438
    10. Tennessee Titans………….0.543……… .625
    11. Chicago Bears…………….0.532……… .438
    12. Green Bay Packers………..0.532……… .813
    13.Dallas Cowboys…………..0.524……… .813
    14. Washington Redskins……..0.524……... .563
    15. New York Giants………….0.520……... .625
    16. Philadelphia Eagles………..0.520…….. .500
    17. St. Louis Rams…………….0.489…….. .188
    18. San Francisco 49ers……….0.485…….. .313
    19. Seattle Seahawks………….0.477…….. .625
    20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers…...0.469…….. .563
    21. Arizona Cardinals…………0.465…….. .500
    22. Carolina Panthers………….0.465……. .438
    23. Miami Dolphins…………...0.465…….. .063
    24. Atlanta Falcons……………0.461…….. .250
    25. New York Jets…………….0.457…….. .250
    26. Kansas City Chiefs………..0.453…….. .250
    27. New Orleans Saints……….0.450…….. .438
    28. Buffalo Bills………………0.449…….. .438
    29. Denver Broncos…………...0.446…….. .438
    30. Oakland Raiders…………..0.438…….. .250
    31. San Diego Chargers……….0.422……. .688
    32. New England Patriots……..0.387…….1.000

    How in the world does it happen that the team that went undefeated in the 2007 regular season can turn around and have the easiest schedule the following year? Some of you may be prone to think those dastardly Patriots have figured out another way to cheat, right? Well the NFL sets up these schedules on a rotating basis concerning the non-divisional games. Here is how:

    Each team has a 16 game regular season schedule. Of these games there is annually a home and away series between division rivals. Therefore 6 of New England’s games are as follows:

    Team……………….….Win%

    1. Buffalo Bills…………...0.438
    2. Miami Dolphins………. 0.063
    3. New York Jets………...0.250
    4. Buffalo Bills……………0.438
    5. Miami Dolphins………..0.063
    6. New York Jets………...0.250

    Next, each division plays another division within their conference on a rotating basis from one season to the next. In 2007 New England’s division played the AFC North. In 2008 it worked out that New England’s AFC East Division plays another weak AFC division, the AFC West, leaving the AFC South to be played in 2009…

    Team……………….….Win%

    7. Denver Broncos………..0.438
    8. Kansas City Chiefs……..0.250
    9. Oakland Raiders………..0.250
    10. San Diego Chargers…….0.688

    Additionally, each division in one conference plays one of the four-team divisions from the other conference, also on a rotating basis from season to season. In 2006 the AFC East played the NFC North, followed in 2007 by the NFC East. In 2008 it’s the AFC East’s turn to play another weak division, the NFC West, and in 2009 the AFC East will face off against the NFC South…

    Team……………….….Win%

    11. Arizona Cardinals..…….0.500
    12. San Francisco 49ers……0.313
    13. Seattle Seahawks………0.625
    14. St. Louis Rams…………0.188

    Finally, as a division winner in 2007, the Patriots are scheduled to play the division winners that reside in the two divisions the AFC East isn’t scheduled to play in 2008. These games are the reason the new schedules are not announced until the end of the previous regular season. Therefore:

    Team……………….….Win%

    15. Indianapolis Colts.……0.813
    16. Pittsburgh Steelers…….0.625
    Total………………………..6.192

    Average SOS (6.192/16)……0.387


    Here is how each division matches up with the other divisions in 2008:

    Division………in Division……..out of Division…….Ave. SOS

    AFC East……..AFC West………NFC West………….0.440

    AFC North……AFC South……..NFC East…………..0.559

    AFC South……AFC North……..NFC North…………0.561

    AFC West…….AFC East……….NFC South…………0.440

    Division………in Division……..out of Division…….Ave. SOS

    NFC East……..NFC West………AFC North…………0.522

    NFC North……NFC South……..AFC South…………0.540

    NFC South……NFC East……….AFC West………….0.461

    NFC West…….NFC North……...AFC East…………..0.479

    Before you get all up in the air because it’s just not fair what they’ve done to your team, or, on the other hand, don’t start to gloat because it appears your team is getting off easy, just remember this is the National Football League. In this era of free agency and college recruits coming out of school prepared to have a direct impact on their team’s fortunes, anything can happen. There are so many variables that come into play. If your team has got a good coaching staff and personnel department, and a touch of luck (injuries, the way the ball bounces, etc.), you just might end up in the cat bird seat! Just hold your breath, cross your fingers, and hope your team finagles its way through the season and ultimately makes it to the promised land.

    Know this: Going into the 2007 season, it was thought that the NFC West was going to be much improved and very competitive. As a result that division’s teams and opponents alike were assumed to expect a very difficult time ahead of them. Three of the four teams faltered. Seattle ended up wrapping up their fifth division title in a row with four games left to play and, as it turned out, they had one of the easiest strength of schedules in the league.
     
  2. EsDee_in_RI

    EsDee_in_RI Well-Known Member

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    Awesome. Looking very good!:tup:
     
  3. AnteaterCharger

    AnteaterCharger Calibrating Bolttalk, Podcast by Podcast Staff Member Super Moderator Podcaster

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    Still that pisses me off that the Pats will get the easiest schedule - only positive is that everyone who plays them will be royally pissed off at them and want to knock them off
     
  4. Retired Catholic

    Retired Catholic BoltTalker

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    I suspect they'll be gunning for us as well, considering how popular we are with the media and the rest of the league.
     
  5. Buck Melanoma

    Buck Melanoma Guest

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    Good stuff, sdb. :tup: Thanks for the info. Since we play the AFC North this year, I may get a coupla games in there (B'more, P'burgh). Can't wait to see the damn schedule so I'll know when I'm coming out to SD. :icon_banana:
     
  6. rapscallion

    rapscallion BoltTalker

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    The Chargers play NFC South and AFC East.
     
  7. Savage Lizard

    Savage Lizard Charger fan at 7000'

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    Even though this stuff is planned out well in advance, dumbshits out there still point at the "first place schedule" or "last place schedule" when trying to make some point, regardless of the fact that finish from the previous season only affects TWO games.
     
  8. BrOnCoS/32/33

    BrOnCoS/32/33 BoltTalker

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    32. New England Patriots……..0.387…….1.000
    What? Something is rotten outside the state of Denmark..for sure
     
  9. chargerslondon2008

    chargerslondon2008 BoltTalker

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    Personally I would be disappointed if the Chargers don't clinch a first round bye.
     
  10. matilack

    matilack #therealagent47

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    We only play 4 teams that made the playoffs in 07'. That is weak.

    Although the jury will still be out on 7-9 teams like Denver, New Orleans, Buffalo, and Carolina to have a bounce back season and become real contenders again. I think all but Carolina has a shot at contention next year.
     
  11. tboltzcali

    tboltzcali Well-Known Member

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    the reason why the pats schedule is weak is because there division is weak. Our division isnt that much better.
     

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