Discussion in 'Chargers Fan Forum' started by leisure, Oct 3, 2006.
leisure, what have we told you about therx???:icon_sad:
Guys I was dying to tell you all to take pittsburgh when it was at -6.5 but I couldn't Now that I've come out of the dungeon I will still endorse Pittsburgh -7 as my early bird special. Take a look at Navy Air Force UNDER as well.
BTW I fully endorse the tulsa bet tonight I have Tulsa -5
Clemson will lose.:yes:
Ok you know what F all of you hanestly.
Ball State Buffalo over 44.5
Navy Air Force under 54.5
Georgia Tech -13.5
Western Michigan Ohio over 41.5
South Carolina -6.5
East Carolina -6
Souther Methodist UTEP over 57.5
Washington state Oregon state over 52
LALafayette Houston under 52.5
And I really want to take Central Mich +3 at Toledo but leisure convinced me that the glass bowl is cursed. Also Northern Illinois Miami(OH) over 53.5 is something to look at. Arizona +11.5 too.
Edit: I will release which ones are my strongest plays soon
I think this is the first week ever where I'll post my own picks. I don't gamble, I just want to see how I do when I post my own thoughts for all to see.
NO ONE SHOULD EVER USE MY PICKS AND PUT MONEY ON THEM!!!
Unless I start going 18-2 on a regular basis or something.....
I'll only do Top 25 NCAA and the NFL.
Here are my Top 25 NCAA picks:
Ohio State -34.5 vs. Bowling Green
Bowling Green lost by 35 at home to Kent State. OSU is much better than Kent State, and it's at Ohio State.
Auburn -15.5 vs. Arkansas
Auburn wants to prove their narrow victory last week was a fluke and not the norm. They'll come out firing at home versus the Razorbacks.
Washington +20.5 at Southern California (USC)
USC's offense hasn't been beating opponents by a lot recently and Washington has improved in a year under Tyrone Willingham. Their convincing win over UCLA will give them confidence that they can at least play toe-to-toe with their PAC-10 rivals.
West Virginia -25 vs. Mississippi State
My original line confused WV with VT. Now that I'm referencing the correct Virginia squad, the Mountaineers should cover the 25 points.
Florida +2 vs. LSU
LSU demolished Mississippi State in Louisiana. They'll come back down to earth and lose a close one in Florida, where the Gators are nearly invincible in "The Swamp", losing only once in the last two and a half years. Yes, the last loss at home was to LSU, but the Gators are a better team now. In addition, Florida's ultra-fast WR Percy Harvin also comes back after missing 3 weeks due to a high ankle sprain, adding to the offensive firepower against LSU's top ranked defense.
Michigan -15 vs. Michigan State
The wheels are starting to come off the MSU Spartans after their second half breakdown versus Notre Dame. They played without enthusiasm in a loss last week. They won't be too enthused to play the resurgent Wolverines in their house this week either.
Texas -5 vs Oklahoma
The line I originally referenced had Oklahoma at -5 for some reason. I'm using Pinnacle Sports' line as my reference and they have Texas -5. So, I'm going with that.
Louisville -33 vs. Middle Tennessee
Louisville will win this one big, even though it is an away game for them. Middle Tennessee is on the same level as Temple or Kentucky, quality-wise, and Louisville whomped both by at least 31. Also, Middle Tennessee has been shutout 3 times this year, and lost those by at least 35 points.
Tennessee -2.5 vs. Georgia
The Bulldogs' offense has struggled as of late, and Tennessee has things going.
California -5.5 vs Oregon
The Cal Bears at home will be a little too much at home for the Ducks. Oregon's other game versus a top 20 opponent this year was a squeaker for them.
Stanford +31.5 vs Notre Dame
The Irish will win big, but not by 32 points. In fact, a Notre Dame team hasn't beaten anyone by more than 30 points in two years. Once the Irish go up by about 21 points, Weis will throttle it back and replace Quinn, Samarzdija, and Walker with some frosh players as he prepares for life next year without them.
Clemson -16.5 vs. Wake Forest
WF just won last week at home in North Carolina, but Clemson's a much tougher opponent than Liberty.
Florida State -10.5 vs. NC State
The Seminoles feasted on some Rice last week and the Wolfpack needed a last second miracle Hail Mary to avoid their 3rd straight loss.
Georgia Tech -13.5 vs. Maryland
Maryland struggled to beat Florida International in their own house. The Yellow Jackets will continue to roll after last week's confidence builder against Virginia Tech. They eat some turtle soup Saturday in the comfort of their home.
Purdue +11 vs. Iowa
This will be a close Big Ten matchup decided by 10 points or less.
Louisiana Tech +35 vs Boise State
I'm not sure BSU has enough juice to beat a team by more than 35 points on a regular basis, even at home.
Nebraska -7 vs. Iowa State
Nebraska has won convincingly this year, and ISU escaped with a win over UNI. Iowa State has lost by at least 10 to Top 25 teams this year.
Texas Tech -4 vs. Missouri
After their big win at Texas A&M, the Red Raiders return home where they've really demolished their opponents this year.
So, those spreads are what I'm using, off of Pinnacle Sports, at the time of this updated post, which is Tuesday, Oct 3, 2006 at 11:00am.
Here are my NFL picks:
Indianapolis -18.5 vs. Tennessee
Carolina -8.5 vs. Cleveland
New England -9.5 vs. Miami
Chicago -11 vs. Buffalo
New Orleans -6.5 vs. Tampa Bay
St. Louis -3 vs. Green Bay
NY Giants -4 vs. Washington
Minnesota -6.5 vs. Detroit
San Francisco -3.5 vs Oakland
NY Jets +7 vs. Jacksonville
Kansas City -3.5 vs. Arizona
Philadelphia -2.5 vs. Dallas
San Diego -3 vs. Pittsburgh
Denver -3.5 vs Baltimore
Not bad picks---going with the spread for the most part.
I'm taking a closer look at Washington (for starters)
Yeah, I'm funny that way.
Actually, this just happened to be the week where I agreed with most of the spreads.
18.5 is too many points for an NFL game...
EDIT: Also, I like Baltimore to cover and on the ML
I kind of agree... BUT... it's the Colts, who never stop, vs. the Titans... :icon_eek:
That said, it's a very good possibility that less and less of the first string plays if the Colts get a real early 14 point lead.
I picked the Giants because they had an extra week to prepare for the Redskins, and the game is in New York.
If the game was in D.C., I'd pick the 'Skins.
Yeah, but it's the Titans. The Colts offense is better than San Diego's or Dallas' and it's in the RCA Dome. The Titans will also be without one of their starting defensive tackles.
In addition, the Colts whomped the Titans by at least 21 points in their two matchups last year. That's when the Titans still had McNair.
I think that's probobly a very good call!
Good thinking but the Skins are comin' on and are fired up over their win last week... This being a division game, both teams will be up for it...
If the game was in Baltimore, I'd pick the Ravens. However, their offense still sucks and the game is in Denver, where somehow the Donks find a way to win no matter the opponent.
The -3.5 does worry me a little, as the Broncos beat the Ravens last year in Denver by only 2 points, and the Ravens O is aided by McNair somewhat, even though it still sucks.
I'll just nut up and say that the Donks will somehow win by 4, unfortunately for us [Bolt fans].
I hope I'm wrong on this one and the Donks lose. :yes:
I hear ya 100%. I think when it comes to division rivals I too often bet with my heart instead of my head. Really I should pick the Chiefs and Broncos every week 'cause if they win I'm stoked on my bet and if they lose I'm stoked on their division standing.
Stanford just plain sucks I think ND covers easily but given last year's game I am staying away even though last year's Stanford squad makes this one look like a pop warner team.
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