I'm posting this before all the games are played, but assuming San Diego and Houston both win, this will be the playoff picture after week 5. Houston (5-0, 2.5 game lead on division Baltimore (4-1, 1 game lead on division) San Diego (3-2, 1 game lead on division) New England (3-2, 0.5 game lead on division) Cincinatti (3-2) Pitt (2-2) I titled the thread slimmest of margins because in the pessimism thread I posted on how significant a single loss can be. So far (assuming a Texans win), 1 teams will have already separated themselves from their division opponents by 2 wins through 5 weeks. As we all know, having done this last year as well, it takes an epicly bad losing streak to let your opponents back into the race after getting that kind of a lead in the standings. Interestingly enough, although RGIII has been getting the highlights with his play, at this point, I think that Andrew Luck is in a better position to make the playoffs. Indy only plays 3 more likely playoff teams for the entire remainder of their season, and with how poorly the AFC has been playing against the NFC, I would be less than surprised to see an 8-8 WC team from the AFC this year. I'll keep updating this throughout the season, but that loss to the Saints hurt.