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Beware the ides of October

Discussion in 'Chargers Fan Forum' started by Concudan, Sep 29, 2014.

  1. Concudan

    Concudan Caffeinated Commando

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    A soothsayer is reputed to have warned Julius Caesar about the ides of March. Someone might want to warn the Chargers about the ides of October, for that has been where they have found their doom in recent history.

    Much has been made of the Chargers slow start. But looking at the team’s record over the last 4 years they have actually jumped out to a 3-1 records 3 times over that span, of course counting this year. Where they have historically ran into issues (looking back over the last 5 years) is in October, and perhaps even more so in November.

    The team has an average of 1.6 wins to 2.4 losses in October, statistically their worst month (thanks to 2009 November pulling that month out of the basement). November is close behind with an average of 2.4 wins to 2 losses. Again that is due to a 5-0 November in 2009, or else it would be the dreariest of months.

    2013 (9-7)

    September record 2-2

    October record 2-2

    November record 1-3

    December record 4-1


    2012 (7-9)

    September record 3-1

    October record 1-3

    November record 1-3

    December record 3-1


    2011 (8-8)

    September record 2-1 (3-1 through first 4)

    October record 2-2

    November record 0-4

    December record 4-1 (1 January game)


    2010 (9-7)

    September record 1-2 (2-2 through first 4)

    October record 2-3

    November record 3-0

    December record 3-2 (1 January game)


    2009 (13-3)

    September record 2-1 (2-2 through first 4)

    October record 1-2

    November record 5-0

    December record 5-0 (1 January game)


    Sept Oct Nov Dec

    2013 2-2 2-2 1-3 4-1

    2012 3-1 1-3 1-3 3-1

    2011 2-1 2-2 0-4 4-1

    2010 1-2 2-3 3-0 3-2

    2009 2-1 1-2 5-0 5-0

    Total 10-7 8-12 10-10 19-5

    Average 2-1.4 1.6-2.4 2-2 3.8-1


    Now this proves nothing as history is a poor way to measure the future. A multitude of factors goes into the win loss record. Opponents, location of the game, weather, injuries, poor special teams play, Hochuli and of course the dreaded east coast bias (I am not sure how that caused us to lose, but I am sure it did!)


    This season could be, and I underscore COULD be different. The opponents they have scheduled early are struggling right now:

    October

    Jets

    Raiders

    Chiefs

    Broncos

    November

    Dolphins

    Raiders

    Rams

    Ravens

    December

    Patriots

    Broncos

    49ers

    Chiefs


    If the Chargers are going to make a serious run at the play offs this is the season to do it. The schedule is actually (as it looks at this moment) lined up to help the Chargers get healthy during their ‘soft’ portion and run into November and December with confidence.

    Rivers is playing at MVP levels and the D is playing at a higher level that I have seen since Rivera was the DC. But December is a tough nut on the schedule as things look now. You can’t discount the Pats, the Broncos with Peyton will be tough and though they are struggling the 9ers are a good team.


    What does all this mean? Bunk. You have to play the games and who knows what tomorrow brings. But the Bolts have a good opportunity the way things look, and I hope they make good use of it.
     
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  2. Joy Division

    Joy Division Slightly-known Member

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    This line should have been the first line: "What does all this mean? Bunk."
    Nothing to see here, move along...
     
  3. HollywoodLeo

    HollywoodLeo Well-Known Member

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    I don't put too much stock in this sort of analysis. Each year has unique circumstances, not the least of which is a varrying strength of each month's schedule.
     
  4. Fossil

    Fossil BoltTalker

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    Et tu Concudian?
     
  5. Concudan

    Concudan Caffeinated Commando

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    I am not suggesting that the Chargers will lose in Oct, in fact I believe I say they are in a good position to do just the opposite.
     
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  6. Fossil

    Fossil BoltTalker

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    Agreed. Let's find a way to keep dialing up Ws, blow by Denver at 420-high stadium, and get to the bye week at 8/1.
     
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  7. SDRaiderH8er

    SDRaiderH8er Well-Known Member

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    I wouldn't put too much hype into the October records, besides I have sacrificed 2 live chickens, (AND ATE THEM) broke 2 mirrors, walked under 2 ladders, poured 2 tablespoons of salt over my right shoulder, bought 2 rabbits feet key chains, bought 2 four leaf clovers, AND I have my favorite shirt on while its inside out.
     
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  8. Pointyearedog

    Pointyearedog I only put idiots on ignore...

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    ^^^Nice going, Dave.

    mmwc-rabbits-foot-cartoons.jpg
     
  9. SDRaiderH8er

    SDRaiderH8er Well-Known Member

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    all that other nonsense doesnt work
     
  10. Pointyearedog

    Pointyearedog I only put idiots on ignore...

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    Dave;

    When are you going to show up again? People might start taking bets on which game you might make your return. Could it be the Raidurs game?

    Douglas_MacArthur.gif
     
    Last edited: Sep 29, 2014
  11. SDRaiderH8er

    SDRaiderH8er Well-Known Member

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    Every Sunday is taken through Thanksgiving.
     
  12. Pointyearedog

    Pointyearedog I only put idiots on ignore...

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    ^^^So, you could be there for the Fakeriots game...
     

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