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Bills vs. Chargers

Discussion in 'Latest Chargers News & Headlines' started by robdog, Nov 18, 2005.

  1. robdog

    robdog Code Monkey Staff Member Administrator

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    <img src="http://bolttalk.com/images/chargersvbills02.jpg" alt="Chargers vs Bills" />

    An outstanding running back. One of the NFL's best tight ends. An efficient, confident quarterback. A vulnerable defense that will allow yards.

    That was last week's game against Kansas City. Its also this week's matchup with San Diego. The two teams are very similar. Can the Bills get a similar result?

    Let's break down the Bills-Chargers game on Sunday.

    Bills Offense vs. Chargers Defense

    Will the Force be with J.P. Losman this week? Off the bench against KC, he used some advice from Yoda to play his best game. But that was coming cold off the bench. Can he do it when he's had a week to think about, build up the pressure and have the opponent prepare? We'll find out. The Chargers 3-4 defense is very aggressive, and very confusing. Linebackers Shawn Merriman, Steve Foly and Shaun Phillips will rush from anywhere at anytime. Losman's mobility will help him avoid some sacks. But can he avoid the crucial mistake? Will he keep playing with that "I don't care" attitude?

    The Bills want to run, as always. But they may have trouble getting Willis McGahee going against the Chargers #1 ranked rush defense. The same 3-4 defense of Wade Phillips that can confuse on the pass rush can fill the gaps to stop the run. Most teams don't even try to run. San Diego's face the 2nd fewest rushing attempts in the league. They're giving up only 80 yards per game. If Willis can't get going, that will make it tougher on Losman.

    Because the rushing defense is so good, teams chose to pass the ball. The Chargers have faced the most passing attempts in the league, and rank only 30th in yards allowed. They should get starting cornerback Drayton Florence back, but there are still good matchups for Moulds and Evans. It remains to be seen if JP can take advantage of those like he did against the Chiefs.

    Bills Defense vs. Chargers Offense

    L.T. Those are the initials of the best running back in the NFL. B.A.D. Those initials describe the Bills run defense. Mismatch? Probably. Even in the win against KC, Larry Johnson had 100 yards by halftime. It just doesn't seem possible that the Bills can slow doen LaDainian Tomlinson. He's scored 15 touchdowns this year, and thrown for 3 more. He is as good a receiver as a runner. L.T. averages 93 yard rushing per game. The Bills allow 150. Ouch.

    Mike Mulary hinted that there may be a few new wrinkles in the defense to stop Tomlinson. The Eagles held Tomlinson to 7 yards on 17 carries by rushing hard off the edges and not allowed LT to cut back. London Fletcher termed it "moving back the line of scrimmage." That could mean a lot of hard rushing and blitzing by the Bills linebackers-.

    -and that could open things up for Drew Brees and Antonio Gates. Brees is a smart, efficient QB who doesn't make a lot of mistakes. He doesn't have great receivers, but he has maybe the best tight end in the league. Gates isn't quite as savy as KC's Tony Gonzalez (8 catches, 91 yards vs. Bills), but he's physically more talented. Watch how SD lines him up as a receiver, especially in the red zone. At 6-4, 260 pounds he'll be hard to handle for Nate Clements and Terrence McGee.

    Special Teams

    Advantage: Bills. I'm going to keep writing that every week, because no on is better than Bobby April's squad. They were awesome against Dante Hall. I'm a bit concerned about teams ability to kick away/squib kick to neutralize McGee. He's gone two games without breaking a long one, and that's unusual.

    San Diego's kickoff coverage ranks 22nd, the punt return team 25th. Darren Sproles, the 5-6 inch waterbug, handles both returns. He's harder to find than he is to stop. I don't expect him to break anything against Aiken, Crowell, Haggan, Stamer and the Bills coverage teams.

    Outlook

    The Bills are 0-4 on the road. Their defense has 19 takeaways at home, only 3 on the road. Buffalo is just not a good team away from the Ralph. Losman will have 400 friends and family there, but that won't be enough of a home field advantage.

    The Chargers have played one of the league's hardest schedules, and lost their four games by a combined 12 points. They are one of the elite teams in the NFL, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them in the Super Bowl. This is not a good matchup for the Bills, especially in the running games. I think J.P. will play better than he did earlier in the season, but it won't be enough. Chargers 31-14.
     

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