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Countdown Daily 12/31: AFC Playoff Picture

Discussion in 'Chargers Fan Forum' started by Concudan, Jan 1, 2009.

  1. Concudan

    Concudan Caffeinated Commando

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  2. Concudan

    Concudan Caffeinated Commando

    Joined:
    Mar 5, 2006
    Messages:
    53,044
    Ratings:
    +4,979
    Colts at Chargers, Saturday 8 p.m.

    The Chargers have a big advantage over the Colts when it comes to running in short-yardage situations. San Diego ranks second in power running success on offense, and eighth preventing such success on defense. Indianapolis is 21st on offense and 30th on defense. The Colts get around this problem by passing more on third-and-short. On third or fourth down with 1-3 yards to go, Peyton Manning converted 28 of 37 passes for a new set of downs (29 for 38 if we count a pass interference call). The league average was only 50 percent.

    The Chargers also have an advantage on special teams, 12th in the FO rankings compared to 26th for Indianapolis. The biggest issue is the field-position advantage the Chargers will get when forced to punt. Both San Diego's Mike Scifres and Indianapolis' Hunter Smith had strong seasons as punters, but the Chargers had average punt returns while the Colts' punt returns rated the worst in the league. Although both Nate Kaeding and Adam Vinatieri are known as quality kickers, both had below-average seasons in field-goal value.

    However, San Diego's defense is weakest where the Indianapolis offense is strongest. The Chargers are one of the top teams defending No. 2 receivers and running backs in the passing game, but they rank 24th against No. 1 receivers and 26th against tight ends.

    • More Colts-Chargers: Intel Report
     

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