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Finally, Don Banks Examines Jets-Chargers from a Reasonable Viewpoint

Discussion in 'Chargers Fan Forum' started by IFiredCHart, Jan 14, 2010.

  1. IFiredCHart

    IFiredCHart Well-Known Member

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    If you want to read a Jets-Chargers preview without a great deal of skew, please read below--he does a great job.

    Playoff breakdown: Jets-Chargers


    THREE THINGS YOU SHOULD CARE ABOUT
    1. If you like fresh faces in the playoffs, the Jets are the team for you. No other team in the NFL's elite eight is as rookie-led as New York, which is getting significant contributions from its top two draft picks -- quarterback Mark Sanchez and running back Shonn Greene -- not to mention rookie head coach Rex Ryan, the quote machine.

    Sanchez did more than not lose the game for the Jets last week at Cincinnati, he helped the guys in green and white win it, posting a 139.4 passer rating that was the best ever turned in by a rookie quarterback in the playoffs (with a minimum of 14 attempts). Sanchez this week will try to join Baltimore's Joe Flacco (2008) as the only rookie QBs in the Super Bowl era to win their first two playoff starts. His 12-of-15 passing performance last week against the Bengals set a franchise record for accuracy in the postseason, and he should be especially amped up to play well this week, given that he grew up in Southern California (Mission Viejo) and will have about 100 friends and relatives in attendance at Qualcomm Stadium.

    With lead back Thomas Jones slowed by a knee injury last week, Greene, the third-round pick out of Iowa, stepped into the void and turned in the best rookie rushing showing in the playoffs in 10 years. His 135 yards allowed the Jets to control the clock and keep Sanchez in manageable passing situations, and his 39-yard second-quarter touchdown burst tied the score at 7-7 and started a game-breaking 21-0 run for New York. Combined with Sanchez's 45-yard scoring strike to tight end Dustin Keller, the Jets became the second team in NFL history to have rookies run and throw for touchdowns in the same playoff game. I'm sure you remember when the 1933 Giants first turned that trick, with Harry Newman and Max Krause, in that season's NFL title game.

    2. It's Vincent Jackson's turn to see if he can handle Darrelle Revis. Big-talking Chad Ochocinco certainly didn't get it done the past two weeks in the Jets-Bengals doubleheader. But that's where things stand with Revis, the Jets' shutdown corner who for my money got jobbed in the NFL's Defensive Player of the Year balloting (I voted for him). He's so good that it seems like it's up to the receiver he's facing to stop him.

    Revis picked off a Carson Palmer pass in last week's playoff win, but things get much tougher this week, because he's going against maybe the hottest quarterback in the game, Philip Rivers, and the NFL's most underrated receiver in Jackson.

    In the regular season, Jackson led the Chargers in receiving yardage with 1,167, and he's even better in the playoffs, with a 17.8-yard average catch on 22 career postseason receptions. Eighteen of those grabs have produced first downs for San Diego. Jackson is a big (6-5, 230), athletic receiver who can go up and get it if Rivers puts it anywhere in his zip code. As well as Revis has blanketed the best receivers in the game this season, Jackson will provide him with his toughest challenge yet.

    3. Can San Diego force the Jets out of their winning formula? New York's blueprint is fairly straight forward. The Jets were the first team since the 2001 Steelers to lead the NFL in both rushing and overall defense, and they try to beat you with a running attack that shortens the game by limiting possessions, and a 3-4 defense that will create havoc with its blitz packages.

    Much has been made of the Chargers allowing 4.5 yards per rush this season -- tied for the worst among the 12 playoff teams -- and how the Jets might exploit that weakness to hog the ball all day and play keep-away from Rivers and a high-powered San Diego offense that has scored at least 20 points in every game this season. But the worst of the damage the Chargers allowed on the ground came in the season's first half, when they were struggling with injuries to the likes of nose tackle Jamal Williams. They've been improved on run defense in the season's final two months.


    "Statistically you see that over the last 10 games it's a total difference,'' Chargers head coach Norv Turner said. "I think we're in the middle of the pack, 11th or 14th or whatever it is. Early, we were either injured or new, and that's not a good combination.''

    San Diego isn't going to beat New York running the ball (the Chargers are 31st in rushing, 88.9 yards per game), so it'll be up to Rivers and his receivers to move the chains and maximize their scoring opportunities. Getting some pass protection and time to throw downfield to receivers Jackson, Malcom Floyd and tight end Antonio Gates will be vital. The Chargers can't afford to get conservative against the best defense they've faced since mid-October. They have to keep swinging for the home run ball, then hit their share.

    INSIDE THE SCOUTING REPORT
    A defensive coordinator for one of the Chargers' late-season opponents details the challenges of facing Philip Rivers and the San Diego offense:

    "We had to throw out a lot of stuff we like to do as far as our designer blitzes, because they have viable options at all five (receiving) positions on third downs. There are people you have to account for at receiver, tight end and out of the backfield. In the past, you really could just key on tight end Antonio Gates and take your chances with everyone else. But Vincent Jackson and Malcom Floyd are very good receivers. They're play-makers. Jackson is starting to get some attention, but Floyd can really stretch the field on you, and he can really run. And then there's Darren Sproles out of the backfield, and he can be a real matchup problem. You better have someone who can really cover on him. You can't just throw any linebacker on him.

    "Credit Norv Turner. It's the same offense he's always run. But he's got the pieces to the puzzle and he's got them all together now. Philip Rivers is really reaping the benefits of all those options this year. And he's been in that system long enough now that he knows where all the answers are. He does a really good job of getting the ball to everyone. The way San Diego has been playing, if you held me down and told me I had to pick a team to win it all, it'd be the Chargers.''

    THE PICK
    Don't think for a minute that 13-3, second-seeded San Diego lucked out by drawing the 10-7 Jets. New York has won four consecutive games on the road and isn't intimidated by anyone, thanks mostly to the don't-back-down style of its first-year head coach. The Chargers proved they won't panic or wilt with those tough second-half wins at the Giants and Cowboys, and despite winning 11 in a row, it hasn't been all easy street for Norv Turner's club. Four of San Diego's final five wins were by seven points or fewer. The Chargers have matured as a playoff club and should prevail with the help of the home crowd. But I think it's going to be an all-day battle, and don't be surprised if the Jets are protecting a lead for a good bit of the game. Chargers 24, Jets 20.

    Honest analysis with a fair final score prediction.
     
  2. boltssbbound

    boltssbbound Well-Known Member

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    Well, he has the winning team right, but the final score is closer than I think it will be. The notion that somehow because Rex Ryan is arrogant the Jets will play above their heads is a joke. Lots of coaches are confident. That hasn't kept their teams from getting walloped by the Chargers.
     
  3. Buck Melanoma

    Buck Melanoma Guest

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    My talking *** says we put up 40 on them. :lol:
     
  4. RM24

    RM24 BoltTalker

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    Yup, just ask Jeff Fisher.....:yes:
     
  5. the_riddler

    the_riddler BoltTalker

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    Weren't these experts saying the Titans were going to destroy us?

    Look how that turned out. :icon_toast:
     
  6. Concudan

    Concudan Caffeinated Commando

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    :icon_evil: Stop calling me your talkin ***!!!!! :icon_evil:
     
  7. Boltzlover

    Boltzlover BoltTalker

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    I think the first quarter or half will mostly determine the end score. If we get up by 14 points then they will have to rely on Sanchez to beat us and that opens the door for more turnovers. That could lead to a 40 burger or more. If it is close after the first half, then it will be a dog fight and a much closer game than I want.
     
  8. bigcarson50

    bigcarson50 Well-Known Member

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    ONe piece of anaylis I'd like to see would be how our run defense fairs differently in the red zone vs. outside of it (bend don't break). In all honestly, even with the improvement our run D is average at best outside the redzone, but it seems that we have been almost impossible to run on in Red Zone.

    The Eagles didn't even try to run in the Red Zone.
    The Giants got stuffed in the Red Zone
    The Cowboys got stuffed in the Red Zone
    If I remember correctly, the Bengles had troubles

    If we can hold the Jets to FGs, we will win.
     
  9. Buck Melanoma

    Buck Melanoma Guest

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    :abq2: :abq1: :abq2: :abq1:
     
  10. WonderSlug

    WonderSlug Well-Known Member

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    24-20?

    More like

    Chargers 35
    Jets 17


    Chargers 35-10 to start the 4th quarter, then Norv pulls the starters, and the Jets get a gift TD against our backups.
     
  11. AnteaterCharger

    AnteaterCharger Calibrating Bolttalk, Podcast by Podcast Staff Member Super Moderator Podcaster

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    I think they can run down the field but yeah once they hit the red zone they'll find it very difficult. And it won't matter run or pass. Conversely if we can score on a few of our possessions we can take them then out of their comfort zone - and with our wide range of weapons and attack patterns, I think we can from wherever

    Hence 28-9
     
  12. Retired Catholic

    Retired Catholic BoltTalker

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    Gee, sounds like a certain team I'm moderately familiar with three years ago. They were really confident too. They listened to the hype, too. This year, they aren't listening. They're just snapping the buttons on their chin straps.
     
  13. Buck Melanoma

    Buck Melanoma Guest

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    Yup.

    Some are yapping, some realize nothing to yap about. Yet.

    This time, we're the guys in the 2nd group. :tup:
     

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