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Quick Look at Chargers vs. Jets

Discussion in 'Latest Chargers News & Headlines' started by Concudan, Oct 19, 2011.

  1. Concudan

    Concudan Caffeinated Commando

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    By Curtis "Concudan" Egan

    The Chargers fly to New York to play the Jets this Sunday. The Chargers are coming off of a bye week, but face a long flight, and playing earlier in the day than they are accustomed to. While the Jets are coming off of a Monday night game against the Miami Dolphins, giving them a shortened week.

    The Jets have struggled against teams this season compiling a 3-3 record out the gate. They have suffered losses to the Oakland Raiders, Baltimore Ravens, and New England Patriots. Their wins came against the Miami Dolphins (0-5), Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) and the Dallas Cowboys (2-3). They have not gotten on track offensively, even after scoring 24 points against the Dolphins. They currently rank 31st in the league in rushing and 21st in passing offensively.

    Defensively the Jets have had troubles stopping the run, and rank 26th in the league against the run defensively. Their pass defense has been impressive, as one would expect of a team that features CB Darrelle Revis. Against the pass the Jets have the 5th best defense in the league.

    The Chargers have sprinted out the gate this season to an uncommon fast start statistically. They entered their bye week at 4-1, but have faced criticism that their opponents have been sub par. Their victories have come over the Minnesota Vikings (1-5), Kansas City Chiefs (2-3), Miami Dolphins (0-5), and the Denver Broncos (1-4). Their lone loss came at the hands of the 5-1 New England Patriots.

    The Chargers players have said that they are comfortable at 4-1, and that in the past they have found ways to lose the close games in the early seasons, they cite that season they have found ways to win those close games.

    The Chargers have not been performing as everyone expected offensively, suffering from uncharacteristic lack of production in the red zone. Some of that is due to the lack of star Tight End Antonio Gates, another part is due to the Chargers typically get off to a slow start, and the red zone production is part of that. They will have to score touchdowns against the Jets however, because if they allow the Jets to stay close they will see this game slip from their hands. Settling for field goals will keep the Jets in the game.

    The Chargers rank 10th in rushing offense, and are getting better production from their second year player Ryan Mathews who has been averaging more than 100 combine yards from scrimmage per game. Through the air the Chargers have the 6th ranked offense, and they have not really gotten on track with their vertical passing game as the majority of teams have played two-deep defensive coverage against them in order to limit the aerial assault of the Chargers.

    Defensively the Chargers have played good football, but need to improve in sacks and take aways. The Chargers currently rank 2nd against the pass, and 17th against the run. The Chargers have taken the ball away only 5 times compared to the Jets 14. The Chargers only have 8 sacks while the Jets have 17. The Chargers will have to improve in those two categories in order to keep winning as they head into the tough stretch of their schedule.

    Offensive stats:
    Total yards per game:
    Chargers 416.2
    Jets 297.2
    Difference +119 Chargers

    Passing yards per game:
    Chargers 293.4
    Jets 216.3
    Difference +77.1 Chargers

    Rushing yards per game:
    Chargers 122.8
    Jets 80.8
    Difference +42 Chargers

    Time of possession per game:
    Chargers 35.3
    Jets 28.6
    Difference +6.7 Chargers

    Defensive stats:
    Total yards per game:
    Chargers 293.2
    Jets 332.8
    Difference -39.6 Chargers

    Passing yards per game:
    Chargers 176.6
    Jets 200.8
    Difference -24.2 Chargers

    Rushing yards per game:
    Chargers 113.6
    Jets 132
    Difference -18.4 Chargers

    Points per game:
    Chargers 21.8
    Jets 21.8
    Difference tie

    Outlook:
    The Chargers are the fresh team. The bye week gave them time to get most of their players healthy. The Chargers have performed better than the Jets thus far, but that measurement may be skewed by the competition. The odds makers have San Diego favored by 1 (5Dimes.com), given that the home team gets 3 points for the advantage, that is a big number against a Jets team that has been to the AFC Championship the last two seasons.

    I favor the Chargers in this game. I do not see their schedule as the false measurement others do, noting that the Jets wins have not come against teams with a winning record either. The Chargers have made improvements on both sides of the ball each week.

    The Chargers will have to hold onto the ball and prevent turnovers, as well as get solid pressure on Jets QB Mark Sanchez to help create Jets turnovers. I think they will do this but still see a tight game. Charger 27, Jets 21.
     
  2. Concudan

    Concudan Caffeinated Commando

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